Hello everyone! It’s been a very fun year for fantasy. I’ve had a fun time with this series and had a lot of interesting conversations. I’ve also received a LOT of heat for some of my bad takes, which I’ve tried to forget about while I cried myself to sleep at night. That being said, I think it’s important to not just throw out stuff like that but actually review it. Today, we’re going to look at every player posted for this segment and give them a hit, miss, or neither if it’s too close to call. Let’s dive into the lessons we learned about these players from this 2024 dynasty season.
First Edition
Jahmyr Gibbs
Slightly Overvalued
Rank then: RB3/OVR9
Rank now: RB2/OVR4
In my defense, I did say he was only slightly overvalued. Nevertheless, it was a miss. I think my general argument for it actually grew stronger. I was concerned that sharing a backfield with David Montgomery would limit his ceiling, and a lot of people pointed out Monty was going to be a free agent soon. Since then, Montgomery signed an extension. Either way, that doesn’t make him overvalued.
Result: Miss
Drake London
Overvalued
Rank then: WR16/OVR30
Rank now: WR12/OVR22
When I made this post, I mentioned that Drake London has the upside but hasn’t put up the stats like some of his similarly ranked counterparts. Immediately after posting this, London had the following weeks: WR2, WR15, WR8. It’s like he read my post, said “screw this guy” and proved me wrong. He’s currently the WR10 on the year, and has proved me wrong. This is an easy grade.
Result: Miss
C.J. Stroud
Overvalued
Rank then: QB3/OVR23
Rank now: QB6/OVR48
Honestly, I’m surprised Stroud hasn’t fallen further. He’s in the same “tier” as Kyler Murray, who’s the QB11 right now. I pointed out his limited rushing upside and that you can get similar passing production from lower-ranked guys(Brock Purdy, Dak Prescott). While I was wrong with Prescott, my general point was on the mark, especially with a disappointing sophomore season.
Result: Hit
Braelon Allen
Overvalued
Rank then: RB17/OVR66
Rank now: RB31/OVR101
This post was made shortly after the start of the season. When Braelon Allen was getting some opportunities and had an RB6 finish in week two. Realistically, we all knew he was overvalued at the time. But, hey, a win is a win.
Result: Hit
D.J. Moore
Undervalued
Rank then: WR24/OVR45
Rank now: WR30/OVR56
Before the season, I was pretty high on D.J. Moore. When his value went down after the first month of the season, I was all in. A WR6 finish the season before, I was certain Caleb Williams would elevate the Bears offense to a new tier. Even with the increased target competition, he was getting the ball. Overall, it looks like last year was more of a fluke than the new norm. Moore is currently WR17 on the season, but it was a lot of disappointments with a few great weeks mixed in.
Result: Miss
Kyren Williams
Slightly Undervalued
Rank then: RB8/OVR29
Rank now: RB6/OVR25
After finishing as RB7 last year, Kyren Williams is in a position to do it again. In my post, I mentioned that he’s better than Jonothan Taylor and James Cook, who were ranked above him. Now, he’s above both of them, albeit not by much.
Result: Slight Hit
Jake Ferguson
Undervalued
Rank then: TE7/OVR84
Rank now: TE13/OVR126
Dak Prescott
Undervalued
Rank then: QB14/OVR88
Rank now: QB22/OVR138
I’m combining these two because I had essentially the same thought process for both of them and believed the Cowboys would have a top-tier offense this year. I thought the loss of Tony Pollard would force them to throw the ball even more. Oh, how wrong I was.
Result: What Can You Expect From the Cowboys? (Double Miss)
Second Edition
Bijan Robinson
Overvalued
Rank then: RB1/OVR8
Rank now: RB1/OVR3
What was I thinking? I mean, jeez, bad take, am I right? To shine light on why I said this, I’ll revert to my post. When I made this edition, Bijan Robinson finished a week top ten, only five out of the last eighteen weeks. Anyways, over his past eleven games, he’s finished top ten in all but one. He’s currently the RB3 on the season, and easily RB1 for fantasy.
Result: Big Miss
Jameson Williams
Overvalued
Rank then: WR28/OVR51
Rank now: WR26/OVR49
Since I made this post, Jameson Williams has received a two-game suspension and had legal drama, being his value all the way down to WR38. Since then, Williams has restored his value. With how similar the value is from then vs now, I’m going to give this a wash.
Result: Neither
Patrick Mahomes
Overvalued
Rank then: QB5/OVR39
Rank now: QB7/OVR45
In my post, I mentioned how Patrick Mahomes doesn’t score at a top-five rate anymore. While he’s had multiple weeks since then with a top-five finish, he’s also had plenty of weeks worse than QB15. Either way, it’s not enough of a movement for me to want to call this a “win.” I wouldn’t necessarily call this a miss, either, considering his trade value has dropped by 800 points since then.
Result: Neither
Jonathan Taylor
Overvalued
Rank then: RB7/OVR25
Rank now: RB7/OVR29
In my post, Jonathan Taylor was an honorable mention. Not specifically that his ranking was bad, but that I’d prefer De’Von Achane, Kyren Williams, and James Cook. While Achane and Williams are both above Taylor on KTC now, that’s more that they were both undervalued than Taylor overvalued.
Result: Miss
Chris Olave
Overvalued
Rank then: WR18/OVR34
Rank now: WR23/OVR43
Shortly after this post, Chris Olave received another concussion that has held him out for the last seven games. It looks like he’ll finally be back this week. His value dropping is more about injury than anything else, so I’m giving this a wash.
Result: Neither
Chase Brown
Undervalued
Rank then: RB24/OVR86
Rank now: RB12/OVR38
Chase Brown stole the show in Cincinnati, having six RB10 or better weeks since this post. There was a lot of talk about him possibly being replaced this offseason. But I think he’s played his way to starting in 2025.
Result: Big hit
Jaylen Waddle
Undervalued
Rank then: WR25/OVR45
Rank now: WR29/OVR49
Jaylen Waddle was finally scoring points when he got hurt and is now lower than his original ranking. I still think Waddle is a great buy, but that doesn’t change the fact that he’s a miss as of now.
Result: Miss
De’Von Achane
Undervalued
Rank then: RB8/OVR26
Rank now: RB4/OVR15
De’Von Achane and Waddle had the same reason for being undervalued. The Dolphins offense sucks without Tua, and they would thrive when he returned. Achane has regularly been RB10 or better since then, and his potential to boom every week has made him a top 5 back for dynasty.
Result: Hit
Jordan Addison
Undervalued
Rank then: WR29/OVR55
Rank now: WR19/OVR37
Based on rank alone, Jordan Addison is a hit. However, I(foolishly) said I would take him over Tee Higgins, Jaxson Smith-Njigba, and Xavier Worthy. So, while I’m going to rank this as a hit, I’m still going to accept that there’s a bad take inside of it.
Result: Hit
Ricky Pearsall
Undervalued
Rank then: WR55/OVR125
Rank now: WR39/OVR82
There’s a lot to like about Ricky Pearsall. First-round pick Deebo could be gone this offseason. Even now, I like him as a buy. He could be a very big piece of this offense next season.
Result: Hit
Cole Kmet
Undervalued
Rank then: TE12/OVR116
Rank now: TE17/OVR142
Cole Kmet has scored about 40% of his total points for the year in two games. He has more weeks with zero points(3) than weeks with a top-ten finish. The Bears offense may have sputtered down the stretch, but Kmet doesn’t seem like the guy.
Result: Miss
Third Edition
Travis Etienne
Overvalued
Rank then: RB25/OVR92
Rank now: RB27/OVR96
Travis Etienne hasn’t really been good or bad since I listed him as overvalued. A lot of people seemed to disagree with me on this one, saying he’s a solid buy-low for what he’s done already and the fact that he’s still pretty young. Even though he’s gone down a little in value, it’s really not enough to justify calling it a hit. I think we’ll really know how this should be graded after the offseason.
Result: Neither
Dalton Kincaid
Overvalued
Rank then: TE5/OVR71
Rank now: TE6/OVR78
Like Etienne, Dalton Kincaid hasn’t really changed that much in value since last time. Despite dealing with an injury and disappointing results upon his return, Kincaid still holds about the same value. While I personally think this should be a hit, it’s really not enough of a chance to justify it.
Result: Neither
Michael Pittman
Overvalued
Rank then: WR39/OVR82
Rank now: WR41/OVR87
Three players so far, and none of them have really moved in the ranks. Kinda depressing, right? I’d almost rather be wrong than have nothing. That being said, I was right about preferring Ricky Pearsall and Devante Adams over him. Does it change my grade? No. Does it make me feel better on the inside? Yes.
Result: Neither
Brian Robinson
Overvalued
Rank then: RB15/OVR58
Rank now: RB19/OVR61
Honestly, I’m taking a win here. A lot of people believed I was wrong about Brian Robinson and that he was properly valued at RB15. It’s really not a huge fall, but having four of my “overvalued” players marginally fall should give me something(I’m coping).
Result: Hit
Keaton Mitchell
Undervalued
Rank then: RB55/OVR190
Rank now: RB53/OVR176
This edition is really turning into a snooze fest huh? I still like Keaton Mitchell a lot, and I think that he has a chance to play a bigger part in the offense next year. Don’t forget, he’s only 22. Either way, another marginal increase, another wash.
Result: Neither
Keon Coleman
Undervalued
Rank then: WR29/OVR65
Rank now: WR31/OVR63
Now, this is interesting. Despite going down in positional rankings, he actually went up overall! Keon Coleman probably lost some value due to his injury, and I still like him for a buy this offseason. Especially with how inflated draft pick value is going to be, try to get him for cheap.
Result: Neither
Jordan Mason
Undervalued
Rank then: RB36/OVR123
Rank now: RB46/OVR151
Similar to Chris Olave, I think part of Jordan Mason’s value dropping is due to injury. Although now I don’t think I’d buy him. His value hinges way too much on staying on the 49ers and Christian McCaffery getting hurt.
Result: Neither
Joe Mixon
Undervalued
Rank then: RB16/OVR60
Rank now: RB18/OVR59
While Joe Mixon’s value didn’t really change, I listed him as a potential league winner who isn’t as expensive as Derrick Henry. If you started Mixon in your fantasy playoffs, you probably didn’t win. He stunk, and for the general purpose of me having him on this list, he failed.
Result: Miss
Fourth Edition
Devonta Smith
Overvalued
Rank then: WR19/OVR38
Rank now: WR18/OVR39
Devonta Smith has somewhat caught his stride over the past month, having a 28 and 30-point performance in weeks 15 and 17. I said in my article I would have preferred Ladd McConkey or Jaxson Smith-Njigba over him. Both of them are valued fairly higher than Smith now, and I still believe that Smith isn’t a great player for rebuilders. That being said, his value stayed damn near even.
Result: Neither
Aaron Jones
Overvalued
Rank then: RB34/OVR110
Rank now: RB35/OVR126
I said Aaron Jones had a tough playoff schedule and he’s a pending free agent who might not get a starting job next year. He did fairly well in the fantasy playoffs, but the second half remains true. I don’t see him starting for much longer. He definitely dropped a little bit, but is 16 spots enough to call it a hit?
Result: Neither
Jonathan Brooks
Overvalued
Rank then: RB18/OVR64
Rank now: RB25/OVR98
Well, this sucks to talk about. Realistically, we won’t know if Jonathan Brooks was overvalued or not. Yeah, his value dropped, but that is not because of anything on the field.
Result: Get Well Soon(neither)
Xavier Worthy
Overvalued
Rank then: WR35/OVR82
Rank now: WR28/OVR58
I tried to compare Xavier Worthy to Rashee Rice when I had done this, and I didn’t think they were comparable based on how their rookie seasons went. Rice had built his way up in snaps and targets, while Worthy was very stagnant for ten weeks. For the past three weeks, though, Worthy has scored 19.8 or more. It’s still up for debate on if Worthy is a legitimate receiving asset or a solid gadget player. But he’s definitely getting into the good graces of the fantasy community.
Result: Miss
Josh Jacobs
Overvalued
Rank then: RB15/OVR58
Rank now: RB11/OVR38
It looks like I picked the wrong horse this year. I was so confident in Joe Mixon being the guy this year that everyone else with similar value seemed like a waste. Josh Jacobs ended up being the guy, and he’s making me pay for it.
Result: Miss
Travis Kelce
Overvalued
Rank then: TE10/OVR111
Rank now: TE13/OVR137
I put Travis Kelce on here because I thought he wasn’t a great addition for playoff contenders. I was actually right. Between week 11 and week 16, Kelce never scored better than TE12. His value went down; that’s a given for a 35 year old. But his lack of production is what puts him in my hits.
Result: Hit
Marvin Harrison Jr
Overvalued
Rank then: WR7/OVR11
Rank now: WR9/OVR16
At the start of the season, and even when I wrote this article, Marvin Harrison Jr. was viewed as a tier-two receiver. A guy that you’d take over Puka Nacua, Garrett Wilson, and other stars in the league. While it may not be 100% his fault, Harrison Jr. hasn’t had a great rookie season like his other counterparts. The potential is still there, but people are becoming more comfortable parting with him every week he struggles.
Result: Hit
Darnell Mooney
Undervalued
Rank then: WR41/OVR98
Rank now: WR44/OV111
Boy, oh boy, this one sucks. Regardless of value, Darnell Mooney was a buy for contenders. He’s put up 18.9 points over the past 3 weeks. Doing the math, that ain’t good. He also looks like he’s taken a back seat in the offense compared to earlier in the season.
Result: Miss
Courtland Sutton
Undervalued
Rank then: WR49/OVR126
Rank now: WR40/OVR96
Courtland Sutton’s value continues to go up as the Broncos’ offense continues to develop under Bo Nix. Sutton struggled this fantasy playoffs, but with how much his value has gone up, it washes. That being said, I don’t think Sutton is a great buy. He’s 29 years old; how many more productive years does he have in him?
Result: Neither
Tyrone Tracy
Undervalued
Rank then: RB21/OVR72
Rank now: RB20/OVR69
Tyrone Tracy won the starting role for the Giants pretty quickly, only needing 4 weeks before getting the load in week 5. It seems like he lost it quickly, as well. He struggles to get carries and even when he does, they’re for minimal gains. His future depends on if the Giants address running back in the offseason, so only time will tell if he remains RB1.
Result: Neither
David Njoku
Undervalued
Rank then: TE11/OVR112
Rank now: TE9/OVR102
David Njoku was phenomenal down the stretch to help teams make and win the playoffs. He finished as TE5 or better in 66% of the final six weeks. Although his value didn’t change much, the scoring he provided makes this a win.
Result: Hit
Raheem Mostert
Undervalued
Rank then: RB59/OVR217
Rank now: RB79/OVR309
Raheem Mostert isn’t really undervalued as a player but more around his scenario. If De’Von Achane got hurt, Mostert would’ve provided some solid scoring for a very cheap price tag. Achane stayed healthy, and Mostert did nothing. Easy L.
Result: Miss
Baker Mayfield
Undervalued
Rank then: QB14/OVR102
Rank now: QB16/OVR100
My glorious king, Baker Mayfield. Despite actually going down in quarterback rankings, Mayfield has been lighting it up in the fantasy playoffs. In his last four weeks, he’s been QB8, QB5, QB6, and QB2. He’s a screaming buy at his current ADP, in my opinion, and he’s done a hell of a job this year.
Result: Hit
Summary
In total, I had 12 hits, 14 misses, and 12 neither. Overall, even though I wasn’t great at getting these right, I’d still like to call this a success. The purpose of my posts was to create a conversation. Who you all thought were overvalued, or undervalued. Or even just explaining why I was wrong on someone. Opinions are meant to be swayed, and I definitely changed my mind on some guys after hearing comments from you all.
So I would like to say thank you. To everyone who’s read one of these or responded. I’m hoping to continue this series next year, and I’m excited to see what conversations we get to have in the future.