With the NBA playoffs nearing completion, we're continuing our dynasty-focused content by flipping the script from last week's sleeper targets to identify potential roster killers in your long-term leagues. While finding hidden gems is crucial for dynasty success, avoiding overvalued regression candidates can be equally important for maintaining flexibility and trade capital.
Here are our top six dynasty Fantasy Basketball sells whose current rankings don't align with their realistic outlook for sustained fantasy production. (Statistics as of June 10, 2025)
1. Jerami Grant
(PF, Portland Trail Blazers)
2024-25 stats: 14.4 PPG, 3.5 RPG
2.1 APG, 0.9 SPG, 1.0 BPG
37.3 FG%, 36.5 3P%, 84.9 FT%
From 2020 to 2024, Jerami Grant hovered around 20 PPG and was one of the more underrated role players in the league, but his performance nosedived this season. His PPG fell 6.6 points from last year and his field goal percentage plummeted from 45.1% to 37.3%, before a knee injury prematurely ended his season in March.
Grant’s offensive struggles were characterized by an overreliance on the deep ball. After 32.5% of his field goal attempts were three-pointers in 2023-24, he took by far his highest portion of shots from beyond the arc this season (51.6%). Grant has been an efficient operator from two his whole career, so this trend, in combination with his defensive decline over the past couple of years, makes it fair to ask if he has lost a step athletically at age 31.
With two years and a player option left on his $32 million average annual salary, Grant is expected to remain with the Trail Blazers through at least 2026, despite the emergence this season of two significantly younger forwards in Deni Avdija and Toumani Camara.
Grant could certainly have a bounceback year and/or find success on a new team willing to take on his contract, but with the situation where it is, his 83rd ranking on FantasyPros’ Dynasty H2H board is ludicrous.
2. Cam Thomas
(SG, Brooklyn Nets)
2024-25 stats: 24.0 PPG, 3.3 RPG
3.8 APG, 0.6 SPG, 0.1 BPG
43.8 FG%, 34.9 3P%, 88.1 FT%
Cam Thomas missed most of 2024-25 with a nagging hamstring issue but has still managed to average 22.9 PPG over the past two seasons and remains just 23 years old. This seems promising for a dynasty asset and NBC Sports ranked him 89th on their dynasty board back in March.
However, as a restricted free agent this offseason, Thomas’ volume is almost certainly going to decrease considerably in 2025-26 regardless of whether he stays in Brooklyn.
The Nets have a ton of cap space and four first-round draft picks. If they decide to bring Thomas back, he’ll have to compete for touches with a bevy of new franchise pieces. If he finds another home, it will probably be in a Lou Williams-type sixth-man mold that fits his skill set.
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Given his assist deficiencies and lack of defense, a featured role was never likely to stick for Thomas and given the context going into next year, a decline is inevitable.
3. Fred VanVleet
(PG, Houston Rockets)
2024-25 stats: 14.1 PPG, 3.7 RPG
5.6 APG, 1.6 SPG, 0.4 BPG
37.8 FG%, 34.5 3P%, 81.0 FT%
Fred VanVleet’s playmaking and defensive pressure were key to the Rockets attaining the two-seed and he performed admirably in Houston’s first-round loss to Golden State. At the same time, his counting stats and efficiency both dipped sharply from last season to this season.
VanVleet shot his worst field goal percentage since his rookie year and recorded his lowest PPG and APG averages since 2018-19. VanVleet’s advanced metrics as a creator and disruptor are excellent, but that simply does not get the job done when it comes to fantasy.
The Rockets have an approximately $45 million team option for 2025-26, but regardless of where he ends up, the stats should not translate to the 42nd ranking on FantasyPros’ Dynasty H2H board.
4. Walker Kessler
(C, Utah Jazz)
2024-25 stats: 11.1 PPG, 12.2 RPG
1.7 APG, 0.6 SPG, 2.4 BPG
66.3 FG%, 17.6 3P%, 52.0 FT%
At 23 years old, Walker Kessler has quickly emerged as one of the NBA’s top traditional centers, averaging a double-double for the first time this season while leading the league in offensive rebounds. He also blocks shots at a high clip and despite atrocious free throw shooting, he generally scores the ball efficiently.
This ranking has nothing to do with Kessler’s performance and everything to do with the emergence of Kyle Filipowski down the stretch of the season. The Jazz selected Filipowski, a center, early in the second round last year. The Duke product got off to a slow start, but found his groove in February, showcasing an added dimension from the five-spot as an outside shooting threat that Kessler does not provide.
Kessler tried to extend his game beyond the arc late in the season, including a 3-26 stretch in mid-March, but it is clearly not something he has in his arsenal at this point, shooting less than 20% from deep in his career, and not much better in two collegiate seasons.
The most concerning trend for Kessler’s dynasty stock is that Filipowski seemed to perform best in lineups without Kessler or when Kessler did not play at all. The Jazz will likely be in rebuild mode for at least another season and should remain open to experimenting with lineups featuring both players. For now, Kessler’s long-term outlook as Utah’s starting center is uncertain and his 66th ranking on FantasyPros’ Dynasty H2H board is too high.
5. P.J. Washington
(PF, Dallas Mavericks)
2024-25 stats: 14.7 PPG, 7.8 RPG
2.3 APG, 1.1 SPG, 1.1 BPG
45.3 FG%, 38.1 3P%, 72.2 FT%
In an injury-plagued season for the Mavericks, a plethora of players got a chance to contribute, including P.J. Washington, who had a very solid sixth NBA season. His outside shot looked much improved from the last couple of years and he was among the more versatile defenders in the league.
Unfortunately for Washington, Dallas got extremely lucky in the draft lottery and his role may suffer the most of anyone in the Mavericks’ depth chart when they select Cooper Flagg later this month.
The two players have pretty similar builds and skill sets, but their redundancy is likely to impact Washington far more as Dallas looks to prioritize developing a potential franchise cornerstone.
With players like Naji Marshall and Caleb Martin also under contract and deserving of significant minutes at small forward, Washington’s playtime will limit his value. Like the Kessler pick, this ranking is almost entirely situational, so keep an eye on Dallas’ offseason moves. Dumping him now and picking him up if he moves to a team in need of a starting forward could be a viable strategy.
6. Yves Missi
(C, New Orleans Pelicans)
2024-25 stats: 9.1 PPG, 8.2 RPG
1.4 APG, 0.5 SPG, 1.3 BPG
54.7 FG%, 0.0 3P%, 62.3 FT%
On paper, Yves Missi had a quality first NBA season and his All-Rookie Second Team selection may have been all the evidence some dynasty managers needed to make a sizable investment in the Pelicans center. After all, Missi shot 54.7 FG% and grabbed the seventh-most offensive rebounds per game in the league as a 20-year-old rookie.
However, a closer look at his stats and situation reveals some troubling trends that place him among our Top 6 Busts for Dynasty Fantasy Basketball.
The glaring issue is Missi’s minimal offensive versatility. He attempted a single three this season and none his prior collegiate year at Baylor, as nearly all of his makes came at or near the rim.
Additionally, as a rebounding-focused player, Missi’s glass work on the defensive end left a lot to be desired. His defensive rebounding percentage was just 19.7%, below that of more versatile bigs like Kyle Filipowski and Santi Aldama.
The Pelicans’ lack of big-man competition also undoubtedly inflated his rookie numbers. Missi was the only center on New Orleans’ roster getting any run for long stretches of the season, causing him to lead the team in total minutes played. The Pelicans will almost certainly acquire some reinforcements on the interior this offseason which could help him develop in other areas but will diminish his volume.
Given his lack of versatility and padded rookie numbers, there are other players more deserving than Missi of a top 140 dynasty ranking, where NBC Sports placed him.